$112.74CS20 Case
$0.68 case + $21.99 key = $22.67
−93% returnOpen free
Danger Zone Case contents & odds
Every skin the Danger Zone Case can drop, the odds of each, what it costs to open and what it is worth on average. It first sold on the Steam Community Market on 29 November 2018.
Case price
$0.87
Key
$15.11
Cost to open
$15.98
Expected value
$1.42
Return
−91%
Prices updated 10 November 2026. Key: $15.11 (market, 188 listings). Case price is the lowest listing (269 listings).
About the Danger Zone Case
The Danger Zone Case holds 17 weapon skins across four rarities, plus a rare special pool of 52 knives. The most valuable regular skin is the AK-47 | Asiimov, listed from $35.77 to $236.61 depending on wear. It costs $15.98 to open: $0.87 for the case and $15.11 for the key.
Because the rarity odds are fixed, the Danger Zone Case comes down to its list of skins. A knife or gloves drop is 0.26% per opening, about 1 in 385; open it 100 times and the chance of at least one is 23%. Want to see how that feels before paying? Try the Danger Zone Case in the free case simulator, which uses these exact odds, then compare it with every other case on the case odds page.
Danger Zone Case odds by rarity
Valve's disclosed rates are the same for every weapon case. What differs per case is how many skins share each tier, which sets the chance of each individual skin, and what those skins are worth.
| Rarity | Chance | Skins | Chance per skin | Average skin value | Adds to EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 7 | 11.417% | $0.38 | $0.31 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 | 3.196% | $0.95 | $0.15 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 | 1.067% | $6.51 | $0.21 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.320% | $46.54 | $0.30 |
| Rare special item | 0.26% | 52 | 0.005% | $173.91 | $0.45 |
| Total | 100.00% | $1.42 |
Expected value = sum of each rarity's chance times the average value of its skins. Skin value is the lowest listing at each wear, weighted by how much of the skin's float range falls in that wear, with the 10% StatTrak roll included. Wears with no live listing are left out of the average.
Danger Zone Case contents
Every skin below can drop. Odds are per opening; a price range is the lowest listing across the wears the skin can come in. Check the exact float range of any skin with the float checker.
Mil-Spec
79.92% for the tier, 11.417% per skin
M4A4
Magnesium
$0.22 to $5.60
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Tec-9
Fubar
$0.15 to $3.75
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Glock-18
Oxide Blaze
$0.22 to $2.87
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Nova
Wood Fired
$0.24 to $0.57
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Sawed-Off
Black Sand
$0.20 to $0.51
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
SG 553
Danger Close
$0.21 to $0.49
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MP9
Modest Threat
$0.21 to $0.41
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Restricted
15.98% for the tier, 3.196% per skin
USP-S
Flashback
$0.43 to $4.14
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
MAC-10
Pipe Down
$0.42 to $3.84
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
G3SG1
Scavenger
$0.39 to $2.28
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
P250
Nevermore
$0.78 to $2.20
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Galil AR
Signal
$0.46 to $1.72
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Classified
3.20% for the tier, 1.067% per skin
Desert Eagle
Mecha Industries
$4.65 to $22.29
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
MP5-SD
Phosphor
$4.08 to $10.97
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
UMP-45
Momentum
$4.16 to $7.55
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
Covert
0.64% for the tier, 0.320% per skin
AK-47
Asiimov
$35.77 to $236.61
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
AWP
Neo-Noir
$37.02 to $53.94
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
Rare special item
0.26% for the tier, 0.005% per item
★ Talon Knife
Crimson Web
$289.05 to $2,558.11
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Night Stripe
$219.97 to $1,710.41
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Crimson Web
$203.24 to $1,500.00
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Case Hardened
$321.18 to $1,000.00
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Fade
$711.88 to $800.00
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Crimson Web
$98.94 to $708.31
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Fade
$380.46 to $690.00
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Case Hardened
$189.25 to $579.00
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Slaughter
$446.93 to $578.50
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Blue Steel
$317.77 to $568.56
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Forest DDPAT
$186.52 to $544.09
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Urban Masked
$196.07 to $509.84
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Scorched
$190.94 to $422.99
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Scorched
$124.58 to $421.37
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Stained
$261.58 to $404.39
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Urban Masked
$130.40 to $401.50
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Slaughter
$338.26 to $398.96
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Safari Mesh
$176.24 to $356.40
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Boreal Forest
$106.01 to $345.00
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Blue Steel
$187.96 to $342.94
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Crimson Web
$59.43 to $325.00
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Vanilla
$276.87
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Fade
$165.82 to $263.62
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
Boreal Forest
$185.30 to $249.98
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Stained
$147.85 to $244.20
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Night Stripe
$131.79 to $216.70
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Case Hardened
$95.78 to $215.47
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Blue Steel
$43.20 to $213.53
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Scorched
$34.84 to $190.00
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Blue Steel
$74.58 to $188.65
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Vanilla
$166.93
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Forest DDPAT
$34.39 to $166.13
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Forest DDPAT
$109.21 to $165.86
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Urban Masked
$38.48 to $164.80
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Scorched
$51.45 to $161.17
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Slaughter
$139.50 to $153.61
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Boreal Forest
$34.84 to $151.90
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
Safari Mesh
$105.22 to $147.96
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Case Hardened
$61.38 to $147.49
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Forest DDPAT
$52.12 to $144.30
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Stained
$63.45 to $135.70
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Fade
$84.65 to $128.27
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Slaughter
$80.00 to $116.99
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Boreal Forest
$47.55 to $114.64
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Stained
$45.11 to $106.96
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Night Stripe
$37.14 to $105.60
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Safari Mesh
$46.36 to $92.09
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Night Stripe
$55.91 to $90.41
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Urban Masked
$53.92 to $79.99
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
Vanilla
$66.17
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Safari Mesh
$35.32 to $44.80
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
Vanilla
$37.47
0.005% per opening · StatTrak
Knives and gloves are the rare special pool: the case never shows which one until it opens, and the pool's average uses the average lowest listing across every item in it. See current knife prices on the cheapest knives page. “No listing” means nothing is on sale right now.
Other cases
$112.74
$463.68Shattered Web Case
$3.48 case + $2.49 key = $5.97
−45% returnOpen free
$170.37Prisma Case
$0.89 case + $15.24 key = $16.13
−88% returnOpen free
$306.00Horizon Case
$1.25 case + $16.18 key = $17.43
−88% returnOpen free
$115.00Clutch Case
$0.40 case + $14.26 key = $14.66
−93% returnOpen free
$192.87Spectrum 2 Case
$2.66 case + $24.78 key = $27.44
−92% returnOpen free
See all CS2 cases, or work out what a drop would leave you after Steam's cut with the Steam fee calculator.
FAQ
How much does it cost to open a Danger Zone Case?
$15.98 at the prices of 10 November 2026: $0.87 for the case plus $15.11 for the key. This case uses its own key, which Valve no longer sells in its store, so the key price is the lowest player listing (188 listings).
What are the odds in the Danger Zone Case?
Valve's disclosed rates apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a rare special item (knives) 0.26%. With 7 Mil-Spec skins, each one is about 11.42%.
What is the best skin in the Danger Zone Case?
Among the regular skins, AK-47 | Asiimov is the most valuable, listed from $35.77 to $236.61 depending on wear. The rare special pool (knives) holds the biggest prices, up to $2,558.11, at a combined 0.26% chance.
Is the Danger Zone Case worth opening?
On average, no: one opening is worth about $1.42 in lowest-listing prices against a cost of $15.98, a return of −91%. Selling on Steam takes a 15% fee on top, and the average is carried by very rare drops, so most single openings return less than they cost.
Can I open the Danger Zone Case for free?
Yes, in the case simulator. It uses this case's real contents, Valve's disclosed rates and the prices on this page, and it spins a reel for each opening. Nothing is bought and nothing is added to a Steam inventory. You can open up to five at once and the session tally shows what the cases and keys would have cost.
Do StatTrak skins drop from this case?
Yes. Any skin that exists as StatTrak has a 10% chance of being StatTrak when it drops. The expected value figures include that.
More CS2 tools
Case SimulatorOpen any CS2 case free with real odds, wear, float and prices.Case Odds & EVOdds per rarity and expected value of every case.Trade-Up CalculatorOdds, output floats, expected value and ROI for any ten-skin contract.Inventory Value CheckerPaste a Steam profile and price every CS2 item in it.Float CheckerDecode an inspect link, or look up any skin's float cap and wear tiers.Steam Market Fee CalculatorWhat a buyer pays and what you keep after Steam's 15% cut.
