$84.52Kilowatt Case
$0.11 case + $2.49 key = $2.60
−68% returnOpen free
Dreams & Nightmares Case contents & odds
Every skin the Dreams & Nightmares Case can drop, the odds of each, what it costs to open and what it is worth on average. It first sold on the Steam Community Market on 17 November 2021.
Case price
$0.72
Key
$2.49
Cost to open
$3.21
Expected value
$1.49
Return
−54%
Prices updated 10 November 2026. Key: $2.49 (Valve store). Case price is the lowest listing (1435 listings).
About the Dreams & Nightmares Case
The Dreams & Nightmares Case holds 17 weapon skins across four rarities, plus a rare special pool of 30 knives. The most valuable regular skin is the AK-47 | Nightwish, listed from $50.19 to $86.52 depending on wear. It costs $3.21 to open: $0.72 for the case and $2.49 for the key.
Because the rarity odds are fixed, the Dreams & Nightmares Case comes down to its list of skins. A knife or gloves drop is 0.26% per opening, about 1 in 385; open it 100 times and the chance of at least one is 23%. Want to see how that feels before paying? Try the Dreams & Nightmares Case in the free case simulator, which uses these exact odds, then compare it with every other case on the case odds page.
Dreams & Nightmares Case odds by rarity
Valve's disclosed rates are the same for every weapon case. What differs per case is how many skins share each tier, which sets the chance of each individual skin, and what those skins are worth.
| Rarity | Chance | Skins | Chance per skin | Average skin value | Adds to EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 7 | 11.417% | $0.48 | $0.38 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 | 3.196% | $0.67 | $0.11 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 | 1.067% | $6.07 | $0.19 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.320% | $54.93 | $0.35 |
| Rare special item | 0.26% | 30 | 0.009% | $173.39 | $0.45 |
| Total | 100.00% | $1.49 |
Expected value = sum of each rarity's chance times the average value of its skins. Skin value is the lowest listing at each wear, weighted by how much of the skin's float range falls in that wear, with the 10% StatTrak roll included. Wears with no live listing are left out of the average.
Dreams & Nightmares Case contents
Every skin below can drop. Odds are per opening; a price range is the lowest listing across the wears the skin can come in. Check the exact float range of any skin with the float checker.
Mil-Spec
79.92% for the tier, 11.417% per skin
MAG-7
Foresight
$0.09 to $4.20
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Five-SeveN
Scrawl
$0.09 to $4.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MAC-10
Ensnared
$0.09 to $1.95
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MP5-SD
Necro Jr.
$0.08 to $1.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Sawed-Off
Spirit Board
$0.08 to $0.82
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
P2000
Lifted Spirits
$0.08 to $0.47
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
SCAR-20
Poultrygeist
$0.06 to $0.18
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Restricted
15.98% for the tier, 3.196% per skin
G3SG1
Dream Glade
$0.48 to $2.70
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
USP-S
Ticket to Hell
$0.49 to $1.75
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
M4A1-S
Night Terror
$0.53 to $1.46
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
PP-Bizon
Space Cat
$0.47 to $1.12
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
XM1014
Zombie Offensive
$0.48 to $0.94
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Classified
3.20% for the tier, 1.067% per skin
MP7
Abyssal Apparition
$4.99 to $28.35
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
FAMAS
Rapid Eye Movement
$4.87 to $12.26
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
Dual Berettas
Melondrama
$4.86 to $11.58
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
Covert
0.64% for the tier, 0.320% per skin
AK-47
Nightwish
$50.19 to $86.52
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
MP9
Starlight Protector
$50.70 to $81.95
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
Rare special item
0.26% for the tier, 0.009% per item
★ Butterfly Knife
Lore
$434.19 to $1,647.92
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife
Autotronic
$616.13 to $1,130.35
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife
Black Laminate
$487.79 to $726.87
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife
Freehand
$484.68 to $585.63
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife
Bright Water
$438.26 to $563.43
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler
$251.01 to $345.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler
$245.59 to $340.95
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler
$209.23 to $267.92
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife
Lore
$65.50 to $181.95
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler
$104.43 to $161.08
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife
Autotronic
$76.21 to $152.31
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife
Autotronic
$84.00 to $151.40
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife
Lore
$76.24 to $141.40
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife
Autotronic
$64.18 to $126.89
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife
Lore
$71.22 to $121.09
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife
Black Laminate
$51.49 to $114.99
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife
Freehand
$66.21 to $110.76
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife
Black Laminate
$52.94 to $108.99
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers
Lore
$44.01 to $99.58
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife
Freehand
$53.72 to $88.49
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers
Bright Water
$34.26 to $86.64
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers
Freehand
$40.27 to $84.59
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife
Bright Water
$56.03 to $81.14
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers
Autotronic
$41.16 to $77.56
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife
Freehand
$55.06 to $75.74
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife
Black Laminate
$43.58 to $73.30
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife
Bright Water
$45.93 to $72.70
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife
Bright Water
$48.00 to $66.93
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers
Black Laminate
$34.55 to $57.71
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler
No listing
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
Knives and gloves are the rare special pool: the case never shows which one until it opens, and the pool's average uses the average lowest listing across every item in it. See current knife prices on the cheapest knives page. “No listing” means nothing is on sale right now.
Other cases
$84.52
$80.08Revolution Case
$0.12 case + $2.49 key = $2.61
−59% returnOpen free
$82.00Recoil Case
$0.19 case + $2.49 key = $2.68
−61% returnOpen free
$484.90Operation Riptide Case
$5.89 case + $2.49 key = $8.38
−51% returnOpen free
$249.49Snakebite Case
$0.31 case + $2.49 key = $2.80
−54% returnOpen free
$314.34Operation Broken Fang Case
$4.68 case + $2.49 key = $7.17
−49% returnOpen free
See all CS2 cases, or work out what a drop would leave you after Steam's cut with the Steam fee calculator.
FAQ
How much does it cost to open a Dreams & Nightmares Case?
$3.21 at the prices of 10 November 2026: $0.72 for the case plus $2.49 for the key. The key is Valve's standard $2.49 store key.
What are the odds in the Dreams & Nightmares Case?
Valve's disclosed rates apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a rare special item (knives) 0.26%. With 7 Mil-Spec skins, each one is about 11.42%.
What is the best skin in the Dreams & Nightmares Case?
Among the regular skins, AK-47 | Nightwish is the most valuable, listed from $50.19 to $86.52 depending on wear. The rare special pool (knives) holds the biggest prices, up to $1,647.92, at a combined 0.26% chance.
Is the Dreams & Nightmares Case worth opening?
On average, no: one opening is worth about $1.49 in lowest-listing prices against a cost of $3.21, a return of −54%. Selling on Steam takes a 15% fee on top, and the average is carried by very rare drops, so most single openings return less than they cost.
Can I open the Dreams & Nightmares Case for free?
Yes, in the case simulator. It uses this case's real contents, Valve's disclosed rates and the prices on this page, and it spins a reel for each opening. Nothing is bought and nothing is added to a Steam inventory. You can open up to five at once and the session tally shows what the cases and keys would have cost.
Do StatTrak skins drop from this case?
Yes. Any skin that exists as StatTrak has a 10% chance of being StatTrak when it drops. The expected value figures include that.
More CS2 tools
Case SimulatorOpen any CS2 case free with real odds, wear, float and prices.Case Odds & EVOdds per rarity and expected value of every case.Trade-Up CalculatorOdds, output floats, expected value and ROI for any ten-skin contract.Inventory Value CheckerPaste a Steam profile and price every CS2 item in it.Float CheckerDecode an inspect link, or look up any skin's float cap and wear tiers.Steam Market Fee CalculatorWhat a buyer pays and what you keep after Steam's 15% cut.
