$142.13Fever Case
$0.59 case + $2.49 key = $3.08
−59% returnOpen free
Revolution Case contents & odds
Every skin the Revolution Case can drop, the odds of each, what it costs to open and what it is worth on average. It first sold on the Steam Community Market on 31 January 2023.
Case price
$0.12
Key
$2.49
Cost to open
$2.61
Expected value
$1.08
Return
−59%
Prices updated 10 November 2026. Key: $2.49 (Valve store). Case price is the lowest listing (154 listings).
About the Revolution Case
The Revolution Case holds 17 weapon skins across four rarities, plus a rare special pool of 24 gloves. The most valuable regular skin is the M4A4 | Temukau, listed from $24.53 to $80.08 depending on wear. It costs $2.61 to open: $0.12 for the case and $2.49 for the key.
Because the rarity odds are fixed, the Revolution Case comes down to its list of skins. A knife or gloves drop is 0.26% per opening, about 1 in 385; open it 100 times and the chance of at least one is 23%. Want to see how that feels before paying? Try the Revolution Case in the free case simulator, which uses these exact odds, then compare it with every other case on the case odds page.
Revolution Case odds by rarity
Valve's disclosed rates are the same for every weapon case. What differs per case is how many skins share each tier, which sets the chance of each individual skin, and what those skins are worth.
| Rarity | Chance | Skins | Chance per skin | Average skin value | Adds to EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 7 | 11.417% | $0.36 | $0.29 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 | 3.196% | $1.11 | $0.18 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 | 1.067% | $4.11 | $0.13 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.320% | $32.53 | $0.21 |
| Rare special item | 0.26% | 24 | 0.011% | $106.41 | $0.28 |
| Total | 100.00% | $1.08 |
Expected value = sum of each rarity's chance times the average value of its skins. Skin value is the lowest listing at each wear, weighted by how much of the skin's float range falls in that wear, with the 10% StatTrak roll included. Wears with no live listing are left out of the average.
Revolution Case contents
Every skin below can drop. Odds are per opening; a price range is the lowest listing across the wears the skin can come in. Check the exact float range of any skin with the float checker.
Mil-Spec
79.92% for the tier, 11.417% per skin
P250
Re.built
$0.09 to $1.40
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MAG-7
Insomnia
$0.08 to $1.33
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Tec-9
Rebel
$0.08 to $1.06
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MP9
Featherweight
$0.08 to $1.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
SCAR-20
Fragments
$0.06 to $1.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MP5-SD
Liquidation
$0.09 to $1.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
SG 553
Cyberforce
$0.09 to $1.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Restricted
15.98% for the tier, 3.196% per skin
M4A1-S
Emphorosaur-S
$0.38 to $39.82
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
R8 Revolver
Banana Cannon
$0.28 to $2.11
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Glock-18
Umbral Rabbit
$0.30 to $1.39
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
P90
Neoqueen
$0.32 to $1.11
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
MAC-10
Sakkaku
$0.31 to $0.60
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Classified
3.20% for the tier, 1.067% per skin
UMP-45
Wild Child
$2.51 to $25.38
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
P2000
Wicked Sick
$2.77 to $14.00
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
AWP
Duality
$2.72 to $8.21
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
Covert
0.64% for the tier, 0.320% per skin
M4A4
Temukau
$24.53 to $80.08
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
AK-47
Head Shot
$26.10 to $72.83
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
Rare special item
0.26% for the tier, 0.011% per item
★ Sport Gloves
Vice
$202.96 to $5,501.75
0.011% per opening
★ Sport Gloves
Amphibious
$178.52 to $3,509.04
0.011% per opening
★ Specialist Gloves
Crimson Web
$84.61 to $3,200.00
0.011% per opening
★ Driver Gloves
King Snake
$86.76 to $1,910.46
0.011% per opening
★ Specialist Gloves
Fade
$100.73 to $1,799.98
0.011% per opening
★ Driver Gloves
Imperial Plaid
$94.28 to $1,705.04
0.011% per opening
★ Sport Gloves
Omega
$109.65 to $1,122.57
0.011% per opening
★ Hand Wraps
Cobalt Skulls
$133.55 to $1,015.64
0.011% per opening
★ Moto Gloves
Turtle
$52.27 to $725.80
0.011% per opening
★ Sport Gloves
Bronze Morph
$60.95 to $668.62
0.011% per opening
★ Specialist Gloves
Mogul
$66.58 to $624.68
0.011% per opening
★ Moto Gloves
Polygon
$70.25 to $532.93
0.011% per opening
★ Moto Gloves
POW!
$42.01 to $519.75
0.011% per opening
★ Moto Gloves
Transport
$30.98 to $500.00
0.011% per opening
★ Hydra Gloves
Case Hardened
$47.60 to $461.20
0.011% per opening
★ Specialist Gloves
Buckshot
$36.74 to $435.49
0.011% per opening
★ Hand Wraps
Overprint
$56.08 to $359.09
0.011% per opening
★ Driver Gloves
Overtake
$35.30 to $355.04
0.011% per opening
★ Hand Wraps
Arboreal
$34.28 to $232.99
0.011% per opening
★ Hand Wraps
Duct Tape
$38.23 to $189.77
0.011% per opening
★ Hydra Gloves
Emerald
$30.00 to $179.15
0.011% per opening
★ Driver Gloves
Racing Green
$26.21 to $164.27
0.011% per opening
★ Hydra Gloves
Rattler
$25.99 to $145.33
0.011% per opening
★ Hydra Gloves
Mangrove
$25.32 to $106.25
0.011% per opening
Knives and gloves are the rare special pool: the case never shows which one until it opens, and the pool's average uses the average lowest listing across every item in it. See current glove prices on the cheapest gloves page. “No listing” means nothing is on sale right now.
Other cases
$142.13
$218.99Gallery Case
$0.51 case + $2.49 key = $3.00
−51% returnOpen free
$84.52Kilowatt Case
$0.11 case + $2.49 key = $2.60
−68% returnOpen free
$82.00Recoil Case
$0.19 case + $2.49 key = $2.68
−61% returnOpen free
$86.52Dreams & Nightmares Case
$0.72 case + $2.49 key = $3.21
−54% returnOpen free
$484.90Operation Riptide Case
$5.89 case + $2.49 key = $8.38
−51% returnOpen free
See all CS2 cases, or work out what a drop would leave you after Steam's cut with the Steam fee calculator.
FAQ
How much does it cost to open a Revolution Case?
$2.61 at the prices of 10 November 2026: $0.12 for the case plus $2.49 for the key. The key is Valve's standard $2.49 store key.
What are the odds in the Revolution Case?
Valve's disclosed rates apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a rare special item (gloves) 0.26%. With 7 Mil-Spec skins, each one is about 11.42%.
What is the best skin in the Revolution Case?
Among the regular skins, M4A4 | Temukau is the most valuable, listed from $24.53 to $80.08 depending on wear. The rare special pool (gloves) holds the biggest prices, up to $5,501.75, at a combined 0.26% chance.
Is the Revolution Case worth opening?
On average, no: one opening is worth about $1.08 in lowest-listing prices against a cost of $2.61, a return of −59%. Selling on Steam takes a 15% fee on top, and the average is carried by very rare drops, so most single openings return less than they cost.
Can I open the Revolution Case for free?
Yes, in the case simulator. It uses this case's real contents, Valve's disclosed rates and the prices on this page, and it spins a reel for each opening. Nothing is bought and nothing is added to a Steam inventory. You can open up to five at once and the session tally shows what the cases and keys would have cost.
Do StatTrak skins drop from this case?
Yes. Any skin that exists as StatTrak has a 10% chance of being StatTrak when it drops. The expected value figures include that.
More CS2 tools
Case SimulatorOpen any CS2 case free with real odds, wear, float and prices.Case Odds & EVOdds per rarity and expected value of every case.Trade-Up CalculatorOdds, output floats, expected value and ROI for any ten-skin contract.Inventory Value CheckerPaste a Steam profile and price every CS2 item in it.Float CheckerDecode an inspect link, or look up any skin's float cap and wear tiers.Steam Market Fee CalculatorWhat a buyer pays and what you keep after Steam's 15% cut.
