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Trade skins

Gallery Case contents & odds

Every skin the Gallery Case can drop, the odds of each, what it costs to open and what it is worth on average. It first sold on the Steam Community Market on 1 July 2024.

Gallery Case
Case price
$0.51
Key
$2.49
Cost to open
$3.00
Expected value
$1.47
Return
−51%

Prices updated 10 November 2026. Key: $2.49 (Valve store). Case price is the lowest listing (327 listings).

About the Gallery Case

The Gallery Case holds 17 weapon skins across four rarities, plus a rare special pool of 13 knives. The most valuable regular skin is the M4A1-S | Vaporwave, listed from $35.82 to $218.99 depending on wear. It costs $3.00 to open: $0.51 for the case and $2.49 for the key.

Because the rarity odds are fixed, the Gallery Case comes down to its list of skins. A knife or gloves drop is 0.26% per opening, about 1 in 385; open it 100 times and the chance of at least one is 23%. Want to see how that feels before paying? Try the Gallery Case in the free case simulator, which uses these exact odds, then compare it with every other case on the case odds page.

Gallery Case odds by rarity

Valve's disclosed rates are the same for every weapon case. What differs per case is how many skins share each tier, which sets the chance of each individual skin, and what those skins are worth.

RarityChanceSkinsChance per skinAverage skin valueAdds to EV
Mil-Spec79.92%711.417%$0.47$0.38
Restricted15.98%53.196%$1.67$0.27
Classified3.20%31.067%$8.49$0.27
Covert0.64%20.320%$58.86$0.38
Rare special item0.26%130.020%$69.92$0.18
Total100.00%$1.47

Expected value = sum of each rarity's chance times the average value of its skins. Skin value is the lowest listing at each wear, weighted by how much of the skin's float range falls in that wear, with the 10% StatTrak roll included. Wears with no live listing are left out of the average.

Gallery Case contents

Every skin below can drop. Odds are per opening; a price range is the lowest listing across the wears the skin can come in. Check the exact float range of any skin with the float checker.

Mil-Spec

79.92% for the tier, 11.417% per skin
USP-S | 27
USP-S
27
$0.24 to $4.43
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti
Desert Eagle
Calligraffiti
$0.26 to $4.29
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
R8 Revolver | Tango
R8 Revolver
Tango
$0.26 to $1.96
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
M249 | Hypnosis
M249
Hypnosis
$0.23 to $1.41
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
AUG | Luxe Trim
AUG
Luxe Trim
$0.28 to $1.18
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MP5-SD | Statics
MP5-SD
Statics
$0.21 to $1.09
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
SCAR-20
Trail Blazer
$0.27 to $0.55
11.417% per opening · StatTrak

Restricted

15.98% for the tier, 3.196% per skin
M4A4 | Turbine
M4A4
Turbine
$0.85 to $10.34
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
SSG 08 | Rapid Transit
SSG 08
Rapid Transit
$0.95 to $6.82
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike
Dual Berettas
Hydro Strike
$0.69 to $4.62
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
MAC-10 | Saibā Oni
MAC-10
Saibā Oni
$0.81 to $3.53
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
P90 | Randy Rush
P90
Randy Rush
$0.46 to $2.27
3.196% per opening · StatTrak

Classified

3.20% for the tier, 1.067% per skin
P250 | Epicenter
P250
Epicenter
$4.27 to $52.14
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
AK-47 | The Outsiders
AK-47
The Outsiders
$4.58 to $40.91
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir
UMP-45
Neo-Noir
$3.59 to $18.85
1.067% per opening · StatTrak

Covert

0.64% for the tier, 0.320% per skin
M4A1-S | Vaporwave
M4A1-S
Vaporwave
$35.82 to $218.99
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
Glock-18 | Gold Toof
Glock-18
Gold Toof
$35.00 to $83.78
0.320% per opening · StatTrak

Rare special item

0.26% for the tier, 0.020% per item
★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web
★ Kukri Knife
Crimson Web
$57.68 to $390.93
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened
★ Kukri Knife
Case Hardened
$74.58 to $230.00
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT
★ Kukri Knife
Forest DDPAT
$36.97 to $202.49
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Fade
★ Kukri Knife
Fade
$139.15 to $200.00
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe
★ Kukri Knife
Night Stripe
$41.58 to $177.99
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked
★ Kukri Knife
Urban Masked
$41.16 to $138.11
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter
★ Kukri Knife
Slaughter
$100.32 to $120.03
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel
★ Kukri Knife
Blue Steel
$60.48 to $118.93
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest
★ Kukri Knife
Boreal Forest
$36.50 to $111.68
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Scorched
★ Kukri Knife
Scorched
$39.31 to $108.36
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Stained
★ Kukri Knife
Stained
$48.13 to $87.07
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh
★ Kukri Knife
Safari Mesh
$36.50 to $74.80
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Kukri Knife
★ Kukri Knife
Vanilla
$70.35
0.020% per opening · StatTrak

Knives and gloves are the rare special pool: the case never shows which one until it opens, and the pool's average uses the average lowest listing across every item in it. See current knife prices on the cheapest knives page. “No listing” means nothing is on sale right now.

Other cases

See all CS2 cases, or work out what a drop would leave you after Steam's cut with the Steam fee calculator.

FAQ

How much does it cost to open a Gallery Case?

$3.00 at the prices of 10 November 2026: $0.51 for the case plus $2.49 for the key. The key is Valve's standard $2.49 store key.

What are the odds in the Gallery Case?

Valve's disclosed rates apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a rare special item (knives) 0.26%. With 7 Mil-Spec skins, each one is about 11.42%.

What is the best skin in the Gallery Case?

Among the regular skins, M4A1-S | Vaporwave is the most valuable, listed from $35.82 to $218.99 depending on wear. The rare special pool (knives) holds the biggest prices, up to $390.93, at a combined 0.26% chance.

Is the Gallery Case worth opening?

On average, no: one opening is worth about $1.47 in lowest-listing prices against a cost of $3.00, a return of −51%. Selling on Steam takes a 15% fee on top, and the average is carried by very rare drops, so most single openings return less than they cost.

Can I open the Gallery Case for free?

Yes, in the case simulator. It uses this case's real contents, Valve's disclosed rates and the prices on this page, and it spins a reel for each opening. Nothing is bought and nothing is added to a Steam inventory. You can open up to five at once and the session tally shows what the cases and keys would have cost.

Do StatTrak skins drop from this case?

Yes. Any skin that exists as StatTrak has a 10% chance of being StatTrak when it drops. The expected value figures include that.

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