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Gamma 2 Case contents & odds

Every skin the Gamma 2 Case can drop, the odds of each, what it costs to open and what it is worth on average. It first sold on the Steam Community Market on 8 August 2016.

Gamma 2 Case
Case price
$2.67
Key
$18.42
Cost to open
$21.09
Expected value
$2.69
Return
−87%

Prices updated 10 November 2026. Key: $18.42 (market, 123 listings). Case price is the lowest listing (1122 listings).

About the Gamma 2 Case

The Gamma 2 Case holds 17 weapon skins across four rarities, plus a rare special pool of 30 knives. The most valuable regular skin is the AK-47 | Neon Revolution, listed from $94.46 to $171.65 depending on wear. It costs $21.09 to open: $2.67 for the case and $18.42 for the key.

Because the rarity odds are fixed, the Gamma 2 Case comes down to its list of skins. A knife or gloves drop is 0.26% per opening, about 1 in 385; open it 100 times and the chance of at least one is 23%. Want to see how that feels before paying? Try the Gamma 2 Case in the free case simulator, which uses these exact odds, then compare it with every other case on the case odds page.

Gamma 2 Case odds by rarity

Valve's disclosed rates are the same for every weapon case. What differs per case is how many skins share each tier, which sets the chance of each individual skin, and what those skins are worth.

RarityChanceSkinsChance per skinAverage skin valueAdds to EV
Mil-Spec79.92%711.417%$0.56$0.44
Restricted15.98%53.196%$1.95$0.31
Classified3.20%31.067%$11.87$0.38
Covert0.64%20.320%$100.99$0.65
Rare special item0.26%300.009%$349.18$0.91
Total100.00%$2.69

Expected value = sum of each rarity's chance times the average value of its skins. Skin value is the lowest listing at each wear, weighted by how much of the skin's float range falls in that wear, with the 10% StatTrak roll included. Wears with no live listing are left out of the average.

Gamma 2 Case contents

Every skin below can drop. Odds are per opening; a price range is the lowest listing across the wears the skin can come in. Check the exact float range of any skin with the float checker.

Mil-Spec

79.92% for the tier, 11.417% per skin
Five-SeveN | Scumbria
Five-SeveN
Scumbria
$0.23 to $11.30
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
P90 | Grim
P90
Grim
$0.23 to $4.60
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
CZ75-Auto | Imprint
CZ75-Auto
Imprint
$0.24 to $1.67
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
UMP-45 | Briefing
UMP-45
Briefing
$0.22 to $1.50
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Negev | Dazzle
Negev
Dazzle
$0.25 to $1.24
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
G3SG1 | Ventilator
G3SG1
Ventilator
$0.30 to $0.77
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
XM1014 | Slipstream
XM1014
Slipstream
$0.29 to $0.66
11.417% per opening · StatTrak

Restricted

15.98% for the tier, 3.196% per skin
Desert Eagle | Directive
Desert Eagle
Directive
$1.06 to $89.17
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Glock-18 | Weasel
Glock-18
Weasel
$1.04 to $28.13
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
SCAR-20 | Powercore
SCAR-20
Powercore
$1.11 to $5.50
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
SG 553 | Triarch
SG 553
Triarch
$1.00 to $2.93
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
MAG-7 | Petroglyph
MAG-7
Petroglyph
$1.15 to $2.05
3.196% per opening · StatTrak

Classified

3.20% for the tier, 1.067% per skin
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector
Tec-9
Fuel Injector
$9.95 to $34.06
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
AUG | Syd Mead
AUG
Syd Mead
$10.23 to $29.54
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
MP9 | Airlock
MP9
Airlock
$9.81 to $19.70
1.067% per opening · StatTrak

Covert

0.64% for the tier, 0.320% per skin
AK-47 | Neon Revolution
AK-47
Neon Revolution
$94.46 to $171.65
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
FAMAS | Roll Cage
FAMAS
Roll Cage
$93.20 to $129.77
0.320% per opening · StatTrak

Rare special item

0.26% for the tier, 0.009% per item
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler
★ M9 Bayonet
Gamma Doppler
$1,628.48
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Karambit | Autotronic
★ Karambit
Autotronic
$605.05 to $1,466.17
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic
★ M9 Bayonet
Autotronic
$482.20 to $1,123.98
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Karambit | Lore
★ Karambit
Lore
$474.84 to $1,077.21
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate
★ M9 Bayonet
Black Laminate
$374.10 to $1,053.33
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler
★ Bayonet
Gamma Doppler
$587.10 to $891.57
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Karambit | Black Laminate
★ Karambit
Black Laminate
$517.91 to $866.24
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Karambit | Freehand
★ Karambit
Freehand
$454.84 to $724.74
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore
★ M9 Bayonet
Lore
$327.28 to $695.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler
★ Flip Knife
Gamma Doppler
$447.69 to $594.98
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Karambit | Bright Water
★ Karambit
Bright Water
$401.64 to $559.99
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bayonet | Autotronic
★ Bayonet
Autotronic
$219.87 to $508.79
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water
★ M9 Bayonet
Bright Water
$275.66 to $469.93
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand
★ M9 Bayonet
Freehand
$321.26 to $411.19
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bayonet | Lore
★ Bayonet
Lore
$194.03 to $406.68
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bayonet | Black Laminate
★ Bayonet
Black Laminate
$133.88 to $283.07
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler
★ Gut Knife
Gamma Doppler
$179.00 to $282.50
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Flip Knife | Autotronic
★ Flip Knife
Autotronic
$142.16 to $277.39
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Flip Knife | Lore
★ Flip Knife
Lore
$134.00 to $262.45
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Flip Knife | Freehand
★ Flip Knife
Freehand
$107.53 to $218.36
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate
★ Flip Knife
Black Laminate
$107.97 to $212.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Gut Knife | Lore
★ Gut Knife
Lore
$66.64 to $203.49
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bayonet | Freehand
★ Bayonet
Freehand
$151.64 to $199.89
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bayonet | Bright Water
★ Bayonet
Bright Water
$127.28 to $175.57
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic
★ Gut Knife
Autotronic
$75.26 to $168.96
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate
★ Gut Knife
Black Laminate
$46.90 to $118.80
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Flip Knife | Bright Water
★ Flip Knife
Bright Water
$108.07 to $116.56
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Gut Knife | Freehand
★ Gut Knife
Freehand
$50.85 to $114.99
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Gut Knife | Bright Water
★ Gut Knife
Bright Water
$50.30 to $67.99
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler
★ Karambit
Gamma Doppler
No listing
0.009% per opening · StatTrak

Knives and gloves are the rare special pool: the case never shows which one until it opens, and the pool's average uses the average lowest listing across every item in it. See current knife prices on the cheapest knives page. “No listing” means nothing is on sale right now.

Other cases

See all CS2 cases, or work out what a drop would leave you after Steam's cut with the Steam fee calculator.

FAQ

How much does it cost to open a Gamma 2 Case?

$21.09 at the prices of 10 November 2026: $2.67 for the case plus $18.42 for the key. This case uses its own key, which Valve no longer sells in its store, so the key price is the lowest player listing (123 listings).

What are the odds in the Gamma 2 Case?

Valve's disclosed rates apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a rare special item (knives) 0.26%. With 7 Mil-Spec skins, each one is about 11.42%.

What is the best skin in the Gamma 2 Case?

Among the regular skins, AK-47 | Neon Revolution is the most valuable, listed from $94.46 to $171.65 depending on wear. The rare special pool (knives) holds the biggest prices, up to $1,628.48, at a combined 0.26% chance.

Is the Gamma 2 Case worth opening?

On average, no: one opening is worth about $2.69 in lowest-listing prices against a cost of $21.09, a return of −87%. Selling on Steam takes a 15% fee on top, and the average is carried by very rare drops, so most single openings return less than they cost.

Can I open the Gamma 2 Case for free?

Yes, in the case simulator. It uses this case's real contents, Valve's disclosed rates and the prices on this page, and it spins a reel for each opening. Nothing is bought and nothing is added to a Steam inventory. You can open up to five at once and the session tally shows what the cases and keys would have cost.

Do StatTrak skins drop from this case?

Yes. Any skin that exists as StatTrak has a 10% chance of being StatTrak when it drops. The expected value figures include that.

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