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Spectrum Case contents & odds

Every skin the Spectrum Case can drop, the odds of each, what it costs to open and what it is worth on average. It first sold on the Steam Community Market on 1 March 2017.

Spectrum Case
Case price
$3.12
Key
$15.56
Cost to open
$18.68
Expected value
$2.56
Return
−86%

Prices updated 10 November 2026. Key: $15.56 (market, 153 listings). Case price is the lowest listing (479 listings).

About the Spectrum Case

The Spectrum Case holds 17 weapon skins across four rarities, plus a rare special pool of 30 knives. The most valuable regular skin is the AK-47 | Bloodsport, listed from $102.81 to $138.89 depending on wear. It costs $18.68 to open: $3.12 for the case and $15.56 for the key.

Because the rarity odds are fixed, the Spectrum Case comes down to its list of skins. A knife or gloves drop is 0.26% per opening, about 1 in 385; open it 100 times and the chance of at least one is 23%. Want to see how that feels before paying? Try the Spectrum Case in the free case simulator, which uses these exact odds, then compare it with every other case on the case odds page.

Spectrum Case odds by rarity

Valve's disclosed rates are the same for every weapon case. What differs per case is how many skins share each tier, which sets the chance of each individual skin, and what those skins are worth.

RarityChanceSkinsChance per skinAverage skin valueAdds to EV
Mil-Spec79.92%711.417%$0.54$0.43
Restricted15.98%53.196%$1.93$0.31
Classified3.20%31.067%$14.35$0.46
Covert0.64%20.320%$109.98$0.70
Rare special item0.26%300.009%$252.63$0.66
Total100.00%$2.56

Expected value = sum of each rarity's chance times the average value of its skins. Skin value is the lowest listing at each wear, weighted by how much of the skin's float range falls in that wear, with the 10% StatTrak roll included. Wears with no live listing are left out of the average.

Spectrum Case contents

Every skin below can drop. Odds are per opening; a price range is the lowest listing across the wears the skin can come in. Check the exact float range of any skin with the float checker.

Mil-Spec

79.92% for the tier, 11.417% per skin
SCAR-20 | Blueprint
SCAR-20
Blueprint
$0.35 to $4.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Sawed-Off | Zander
Sawed-Off
Zander
$0.27 to $2.24
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Five-SeveN | Capillary
Five-SeveN
Capillary
$0.29 to $1.68
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze
Desert Eagle
Oxide Blaze
$0.36 to $1.40
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MP7 | Akoben
MP7
Akoben
$0.35 to $1.32
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
P250 | Ripple
P250
Ripple
$0.35 to $0.64
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream
PP-Bizon
Jungle Slipstream
$0.35 to $0.59
11.417% per opening · StatTrak

Restricted

15.98% for the tier, 3.196% per skin
Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami
Galil AR
Crimson Tsunami
$1.57 to $5.71
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
UMP-45 | Scaffold
UMP-45
Scaffold
$1.13 to $4.00
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
MAC-10 | Last Dive
MAC-10
Last Dive
$1.15 to $2.68
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
XM1014 | Seasons
XM1014
Seasons
$1.13 to $2.58
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
M249 | Emerald Poison Dart
M249
Emerald Poison Dart
$1.19 to $2.41
3.196% per opening · StatTrak

Classified

3.20% for the tier, 1.067% per skin
M4A1-S | Decimator
M4A1-S
Decimator
$10.82 to $32.11
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
CZ75-Auto
Xiangliu
$10.78 to $19.96
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
AWP | Fever Dream
AWP
Fever Dream
$11.47 to $15.15
1.067% per opening · StatTrak

Covert

0.64% for the tier, 0.320% per skin
AK-47 | Bloodsport
AK-47
Bloodsport
$102.81 to $138.89
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
USP-S | Neo-Noir
USP-S
Neo-Noir
$89.34 to $100.05
0.320% per opening · StatTrak

Rare special item

0.26% for the tier, 0.009% per item
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet
★ Butterfly Knife
Ultraviolet
$428.46 to $1,939.61
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel
★ Butterfly Knife
Damascus Steel
$615.92 to $1,218.54
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth
★ Butterfly Knife
Tiger Tooth
$960.43 to $1,174.50
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade
★ Butterfly Knife
Marble Fade
$1,110.22
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler
★ Shadow Daggers
Doppler
$199.00 to $600.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet
★ Falchion Knife
Ultraviolet
$58.57 to $537.06
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler
★ Huntsman Knife
Doppler
$340.67 to $532.72
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet
★ Huntsman Knife
Ultraviolet
$51.40 to $481.55
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler
★ Falchion Knife
Doppler
$356.62 to $479.11
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat
★ Butterfly Knife
Rust Coat
$442.05 to $474.54
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler
★ Bowie Knife
Doppler
$282.09 to $436.03
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet
★ Bowie Knife
Ultraviolet
$51.11 to $349.14
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade
★ Falchion Knife
Marble Fade
$152.66 to $264.61
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade
★ Huntsman Knife
Marble Fade
$146.00 to $257.45
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth
★ Bowie Knife
Tiger Tooth
$112.69 to $217.44
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade
★ Bowie Knife
Marble Fade
$130.11 to $181.35
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth
★ Huntsman Knife
Tiger Tooth
$120.08 to $172.28
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth
★ Falchion Knife
Tiger Tooth
$123.20 to $156.81
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel
★ Falchion Knife
Damascus Steel
$76.05 to $145.45
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet
★ Shadow Daggers
Ultraviolet
$40.47 to $129.69
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade
★ Shadow Daggers
Marble Fade
$73.72 to $122.78
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel
★ Huntsman Knife
Damascus Steel
$69.09 to $95.56
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth
★ Shadow Daggers
Tiger Tooth
$58.76 to $89.01
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel
★ Bowie Knife
Damascus Steel
$62.33 to $87.85
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel
★ Shadow Daggers
Damascus Steel
$40.98 to $78.25
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat
★ Huntsman Knife
Rust Coat
$44.42 to $66.82
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat
★ Falchion Knife
Rust Coat
$47.39 to $60.50
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat
★ Bowie Knife
Rust Coat
$40.52 to $59.46
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat
★ Shadow Daggers
Rust Coat
$33.92 to $50.64
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler
★ Butterfly Knife
Doppler
No listing
0.009% per opening · StatTrak

Knives and gloves are the rare special pool: the case never shows which one until it opens, and the pool's average uses the average lowest listing across every item in it. See current knife prices on the cheapest knives page. “No listing” means nothing is on sale right now.

Other cases

See all CS2 cases, or work out what a drop would leave you after Steam's cut with the Steam fee calculator.

FAQ

How much does it cost to open a Spectrum Case?

$18.68 at the prices of 10 November 2026: $3.12 for the case plus $15.56 for the key. This case uses its own key, which Valve no longer sells in its store, so the key price is the lowest player listing (153 listings).

What are the odds in the Spectrum Case?

Valve's disclosed rates apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a rare special item (knives) 0.26%. With 7 Mil-Spec skins, each one is about 11.42%.

What is the best skin in the Spectrum Case?

Among the regular skins, AK-47 | Bloodsport is the most valuable, listed from $102.81 to $138.89 depending on wear. The rare special pool (knives) holds the biggest prices, up to $1,939.61, at a combined 0.26% chance.

Is the Spectrum Case worth opening?

On average, no: one opening is worth about $2.56 in lowest-listing prices against a cost of $18.68, a return of −86%. Selling on Steam takes a 15% fee on top, and the average is carried by very rare drops, so most single openings return less than they cost.

Can I open the Spectrum Case for free?

Yes, in the case simulator. It uses this case's real contents, Valve's disclosed rates and the prices on this page, and it spins a reel for each opening. Nothing is bought and nothing is added to a Steam inventory. You can open up to five at once and the session tally shows what the cases and keys would have cost.

Do StatTrak skins drop from this case?

Yes. Any skin that exists as StatTrak has a 10% chance of being StatTrak when it drops. The expected value figures include that.

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