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Prisma 2 Case contents & odds

Every skin the Prisma 2 Case can drop, the odds of each, what it costs to open and what it is worth on average. It first sold on the Steam Community Market on 24 March 2020.

Prisma 2 Case
Case price
$0.87
Key
$2.49
Cost to open
$3.36
Expected value
$1.75
Return
−48%

Prices updated 10 November 2026. Key: $2.49 (Valve store). Case price is the lowest listing (525 listings).

About the Prisma 2 Case

The Prisma 2 Case holds 17 weapon skins across four rarities, plus a rare special pool of 28 knives. The most valuable regular skin is the M4A1-S | Player Two, listed from $47.27 to $121.78 depending on wear. It costs $3.36 to open: $0.87 for the case and $2.49 for the key.

Because the rarity odds are fixed, the Prisma 2 Case comes down to its list of skins. A knife or gloves drop is 0.26% per opening, about 1 in 385; open it 100 times and the chance of at least one is 23%. Want to see how that feels before paying? Try the Prisma 2 Case in the free case simulator, which uses these exact odds, then compare it with every other case on the case odds page.

Prisma 2 Case odds by rarity

Valve's disclosed rates are the same for every weapon case. What differs per case is how many skins share each tier, which sets the chance of each individual skin, and what those skins are worth.

RarityChanceSkinsChance per skinAverage skin valueAdds to EV
Mil-Spec79.92%711.417%$0.49$0.39
Restricted15.98%53.196%$1.39$0.22
Classified3.20%31.067%$6.88$0.22
Covert0.64%20.320%$54.04$0.35
Rare special item0.26%280.009%$218.45$0.57
Total100.00%$1.75

Expected value = sum of each rarity's chance times the average value of its skins. Skin value is the lowest listing at each wear, weighted by how much of the skin's float range falls in that wear, with the 10% StatTrak roll included. Wears with no live listing are left out of the average.

Prisma 2 Case contents

Every skin below can drop. Odds are per opening; a price range is the lowest listing across the wears the skin can come in. Check the exact float range of any skin with the float checker.

Mil-Spec

79.92% for the tier, 11.417% per skin
AWP | Capillary
AWP
Capillary
$0.60 to $7.59
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply
Desert Eagle
Blue Ply
$0.28 to $5.50
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
CZ75-Auto
Distressed
$0.27 to $2.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
MP5-SD
Desert Strike
$0.21 to $0.88
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
AUG | Tom Cat
AUG
Tom Cat
$0.27 to $0.46
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Negev | Prototype
Negev
Prototype
$0.28 to $0.46
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
R8 Revolver
Bone Forged
$0.26 to $0.32
11.417% per opening · StatTrak

Restricted

15.98% for the tier, 3.196% per skin
P2000 | Acid Etched
P2000
Acid Etched
$0.45 to $9.10
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
SSG 08 | Fever Dream
SSG 08
Fever Dream
$0.84 to $8.24
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
SG 553 | Darkwing
SG 553
Darkwing
$0.54 to $6.41
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto
Sawed-Off
Apocalypto
$0.45 to $3.77
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
SCAR-20 | Enforcer
SCAR-20
Enforcer
$0.46 to $3.72
3.196% per opening · StatTrak

Classified

3.20% for the tier, 1.067% per skin
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor
AK-47
Phantom Disruptor
$4.84 to $26.91
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
MAC-10 | Disco Tech
MAC-10
Disco Tech
$4.50 to $16.78
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
MAG-7 | Justice
MAG-7
Justice
$4.51 to $13.60
1.067% per opening · StatTrak

Covert

0.64% for the tier, 0.320% per skin
M4A1-S | Player Two
M4A1-S
Player Two
$47.27 to $121.78
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen
Glock-18
Bullet Queen
$44.94 to $86.76
0.320% per opening · StatTrak

Rare special item

0.26% for the tier, 0.009% per item
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet
★ Stiletto Knife
Ultraviolet
$142.93 to $1,356.60
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife | Doppler
★ Talon Knife
Doppler
$969.14 to $1,150.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler
★ Stiletto Knife
Doppler
$566.08
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade
★ Talon Knife
Marble Fade
$517.37 to $549.71
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth
★ Talon Knife
Tiger Tooth
$401.14 to $528.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet
★ Talon Knife
Ultraviolet
$228.66 to $415.34
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler
★ Ursus Knife
Doppler
$288.37 to $386.18
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel
★ Talon Knife
Damascus Steel
$285.59 to $385.26
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet
★ Ursus Knife
Ultraviolet
$72.55 to $383.79
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade
★ Stiletto Knife
Marble Fade
$250.67 to $362.84
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth
★ Stiletto Knife
Tiger Tooth
$229.00 to $323.89
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife
★ Talon Knife
Vanilla
$276.87
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade
★ Ursus Knife
Marble Fade
$142.84 to $268.25
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler
★ Navaja Knife
Doppler
$128.77 to $264.64
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat
★ Talon Knife
Rust Coat
$212.81 to $245.66
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet
★ Navaja Knife
Ultraviolet
$40.58 to $204.64
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel
★ Stiletto Knife
Damascus Steel
$155.56 to $190.63
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife
★ Stiletto Knife
Vanilla
$166.93
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth
★ Ursus Knife
Tiger Tooth
$114.77 to $160.46
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat
★ Stiletto Knife
Rust Coat
$119.08 to $135.56
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade
★ Navaja Knife
Marble Fade
$71.28 to $105.60
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel
★ Ursus Knife
Damascus Steel
$61.77 to $84.81
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth
★ Navaja Knife
Tiger Tooth
$56.18 to $79.20
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat
★ Ursus Knife
Rust Coat
$47.44 to $74.14
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel
★ Navaja Knife
Damascus Steel
$37.76 to $66.19
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Ursus Knife
★ Ursus Knife
Vanilla
$66.17
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat
★ Navaja Knife
Rust Coat
$35.41 to $40.97
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Navaja Knife
★ Navaja Knife
Vanilla
$37.47
0.009% per opening · StatTrak

Knives and gloves are the rare special pool: the case never shows which one until it opens, and the pool's average uses the average lowest listing across every item in it. See current knife prices on the cheapest knives page. “No listing” means nothing is on sale right now.

Other cases

See all CS2 cases, or work out what a drop would leave you after Steam's cut with the Steam fee calculator.

FAQ

How much does it cost to open a Prisma 2 Case?

$3.36 at the prices of 10 November 2026: $0.87 for the case plus $2.49 for the key. The key is Valve's standard $2.49 store key.

What are the odds in the Prisma 2 Case?

Valve's disclosed rates apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a rare special item (knives) 0.26%. With 7 Mil-Spec skins, each one is about 11.42%.

What is the best skin in the Prisma 2 Case?

Among the regular skins, M4A1-S | Player Two is the most valuable, listed from $47.27 to $121.78 depending on wear. The rare special pool (knives) holds the biggest prices, up to $1,356.60, at a combined 0.26% chance.

Is the Prisma 2 Case worth opening?

On average, no: one opening is worth about $1.75 in lowest-listing prices against a cost of $3.36, a return of −48%. Selling on Steam takes a 15% fee on top, and the average is carried by very rare drops, so most single openings return less than they cost.

Can I open the Prisma 2 Case for free?

Yes, in the case simulator. It uses this case's real contents, Valve's disclosed rates and the prices on this page, and it spins a reel for each opening. Nothing is bought and nothing is added to a Steam inventory. You can open up to five at once and the session tally shows what the cases and keys would have cost.

Do StatTrak skins drop from this case?

Yes. Any skin that exists as StatTrak has a 10% chance of being StatTrak when it drops. The expected value figures include that.

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