CS2 knife trade up calculator
Pick five Covert skins and see every knife or pair of gloves the contract can return, with live prices and what the inputs cost. What Valve has not published is labelled.
Pick Covert skins Loading skins…
Contract 0/5
Pick five Covert skins from the list, or press Example. Set each one's wear or type its real float.
Possible results Waiting for inputs
Add Covert skins to the contract to see every knife or pair of gloves it can return.
What Valve has confirmed
| Rule | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 5 regular Covert items return one regular knife or one regular pair of gloves | Confirmed | Valve, CS2 update 22 Oct 2025 |
| 5 StatTrak™ Covert items return one StatTrak™ knife (no StatTrak gloves) | Confirmed | Valve, CS2 update 22 Oct 2025 |
| The result comes from a collection of one of the items provided | Confirmed | Valve, CS2 update 22 Oct 2025 |
| Chance of each collection when inputs mix collections | Not published | Modelled: one vote per input |
| Chance of each item inside a collection | Not published | Modelled: all equal |
| Float of the result | Not published | Modelled: ten-skin rule |
| Souvenir Covert skins as inputs | Not stated | 22 May 2026 notes allow Souvenir items in the Trade Up Contract; they do not mention this recipe |
| Doppler phase of a Doppler result | Not published | Priced at the cheapest phase |
The patch notes are on the official Counter-Strike 2 news feed (Steam Community announcements, app 730) dated 22 October 2025. The chances and floats shown by the calculator follow the modelled rows above, the same rules public trade up calculators use; they are labelled as a model wherever they appear.
Cheapest knife trade up for every case
Five copies of the cheapest Covert skin whose only knife and glove pool is that case, at its cheapest wear with at least three listings, on 10 November 2026 prices. Because all five inputs sit in one case the only model assumption is that each item in the pool is equally likely. Average result is the mean lowest listing of the results that have a price at their predicted wear; the priced column says how much of the odds that covers. Steam fees are not deducted.
| Case | Input (×5) | Cost | Results | Average result | Return | Priced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $909.35 | 24 | $933.53 | +2.7% | 100% | ||
| $181.00 | 22 | $163.47 | -9.7% | 100% | ||
| $775.00 | 13 | $688.92 | -11.1% | 100% | ||
| $340.70 | 65 | $298.44 | -12.4% | 98% | ||
| $178.85 | 52 | $154.03 | -13.9% | 100% | ||
| $179.25 | 52 | $154.03 | -14.1% | 100% | ||
| $224.70 | 28 | $186.95 | -16.8% | 100% | ||
| $232.20 | 28 | $190.07 | -18.1% | 100% | ||
| $345.00 | 65 | $281.86 | -18.3% | 100% | ||
| $353.35 | 65 | $285.13 | -19.3% | 100% | ||
| $350.75 | 65 | $281.86 | -19.6% | 100% | ||
| $462.40 | 30 | $367.12 | -20.6% | 97% | ||
| $355.55 | 65 | $281.86 | -20.7% | 100% | ||
| $356.35 | 65 | $281.86 | -20.9% | 100% | ||
| $132.95 | 13 | $103.50 | -22.2% | 100% | ||
| $364.30 | 65 | $281.86 | -22.6% | 100% | ||
| $182.85 | 28 | $140.35 | -23.2% | 100% | ||
| $349.80 | 65 | $267.91 | -23.4% | 97% | ||
| $250.95 | 30 | $188.90 | -24.7% | 100% | ||
| $126.00 | 13 | $94.24 | -25.2% | 100% | ||
| $146.50 | 52 | $109.44 | -25.3% | 100% | ||
| $268.45 | 30 | $194.32 | -27.6% | 100% | ||
| $133.65 | 13 | $94.53 | -29.3% | 100% | ||
| $466.00 | 30 | $311.49 | -33.2% | 100% | ||
| $164.80 | 52 | $109.44 | -33.6% | 100% | ||
| $427.65 | 65 | $281.86 | -34.1% | 100% | ||
| $489.80 | 30 | $319.23 | -34.8% | 100% | ||
| $129.40 | 24 | $84.07 | -35.0% | 100% | ||
| $492.45 | 30 | $319.23 | -35.2% | 100% | ||
| $493.40 | 30 | $319.23 | -35.3% | 100% | ||
| $128.75 | 13 | $81.80 | -36.5% | 100% | ||
| $446.70 | 30 | $281.92 | -36.9% | 100% | ||
| $133.50 | 24 | $84.07 | -37.0% | 100% | ||
| $138.20 | 24 | $84.07 | -39.2% | 100% | ||
| $452.35 | 30 | $264.97 | -41.4% | 100% | ||
| $122.65 | 24 | $69.90 | -43.0% | 100% | ||
| $115.00 | 13 | $64.72 | -43.7% | 100% | ||
| $127.90 | 24 | $69.90 | -45.3% | 100% | ||
| $857.75 | 24 | $335.97 | -60.8% | 100% | ||
| $765.90 | 65 | $281.86 | -63.2% | 100% | ||
| $175.00 | 13 | $61.19 | -65.0% | 100% | ||
| $249.40 | 13 | $71.65 | -71.3% | 100% | ||
| $2,032.45 | 65 | $309.63 | -84.8% | 98% |
Ranked by modelled return, best first. Cases with no input priced at three or more listings are left out.
Cheapest Covert skins that qualify
The fifteen cheapest Covert skins that sit in a case with knives or gloves, each at its cheapest wear with at least three listings.
| Covert skin | Case | Wear | Lowest listing | ×5 | Pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilowatt Case | Well-Worn | $23.00 | $115.00 | 13 | |
| Revolution Case | Battle-Scarred | $24.53 | $122.65 | 24 | |
| Huntsman Case | Field-Tested | $25.20 | $126.00 | 13 | |
| Clutch Case | Battle-Scarred | $25.58 | $127.90 | 24 | |
| Operation Wildfire Case | Field-Tested | $25.75 | $128.75 | 13 | |
| Recoil Case | Battle-Scarred | $25.88 | $129.40 | 24 | |
| Revolution Case | Battle-Scarred | $26.10 | $130.50 | 24 | |
| Clutch Case | Battle-Scarred | $26.24 | $131.20 | 24 | |
| CS20 Case | Field-Tested | $26.59 | $132.95 | 13 | |
| Snakebite Case | Battle-Scarred | $26.70 | $133.50 | 24 | |
| Falchion Case | Battle-Scarred | $26.73 | $133.65 | 13 | |
| Operation Broken Fang Case | Battle-Scarred | $27.64 | $138.20 | 24 | |
| Kilowatt Case | Battle-Scarred | $28.08 | $140.40 | 13 | |
| Snakebite Case | Battle-Scarred | $28.42 | $142.10 | 24 | |
| Recoil Case | Battle-Scarred | $28.66 | $143.30 | 24 |
Worked example: Kilowatt Case
Five AWP | Chrome Cannon in Well-Worn cost $115.00 ($23.00 each). All five come from the Kilowatt Case, so the result is one of the 13 knives in its pool. Each is modelled as 7.7% likely. The wear column is where the modelled output float lands for each knife.
| Result | Chance (model) | Wear (model) | Lowest listing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | Factory New | $139.15 | |
| 7.7% | Field-Tested | $101.50 | |
| 7.7% | Minimal Wear | $100.32 | |
| 7.7% | Well-Worn | $76.53 | |
| 7.7% | No wear | $70.35 | |
| 7.7% | Well-Worn | $61.68 | |
| 7.7% | Well-Worn | $54.30 | |
| 7.7% | Field-Tested | $42.23 | |
| 7.7% | Field-Tested | $41.58 | |
| 7.7% | Field-Tested | $39.84 | |
| 7.7% | Field-Tested | $39.31 | |
| 7.7% | Field-Tested | $38.05 | |
| 7.7% | Field-Tested | $36.50 |
Average of the priced results: $64.72 against $115.00 of inputs (-43.7% return). Only a result priced above the cost, shown in green, is a win.
What each case can return
The number of knife and glove finishes in each case's pool (vanilla knives and gloves count as items; Doppler phases count once).
| Case | Items in pool | Gloves | Covert inputs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0 | 1 | |
| 65 | 0 | 1 | |
| 65 | 0 | 2 | |
| 65 | 0 | 1 | |
| 65 | 0 | 1 | |
| 65 | 0 | 2 | |
| 65 | 0 | 1 | |
| 65 | 0 | 2 | |
| 65 | 0 | 2 | |
| 65 | 0 | 2 | |
| 65 | 0 | 2 | |
| 52 | 0 | 2 | |
| 52 | 0 | 2 | |
| 52 | 0 | 2 | |
| 52 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 0 | 2 | |
| 30 | 0 | 2 | |
| 28 | 0 | 2 | |
| 28 | 0 | 2 | |
| 28 | 0 | 2 | |
| 24 | 24 | 2 | |
| 24 | 24 | 2 | |
| 24 | 24 | 2 | |
| 24 | 24 | 2 | |
| 24 | 24 | 2 | |
| 24 | 24 | 2 | |
| 24 | 24 | 2 | |
| 22 | 22 | 2 | |
| 13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 13 | 0 | 2 |
Before you sign a knife contract
Prices here are the lowest live listing, and a knife that sits at the lowest listing is rarely the one you would sell. Selling on the Steam Community Market takes about 15%, so run the number through the Steam market fee calculatorbefore you treat a small return as a win. Check each input's real float with the CS2 float checkertoo: the result's wear follows the average, and a Factory New knife is worth far more than a Field-Tested one.
Glove results are priced on their own page, cheapest gloves, and Doppler and Gamma Doppler knives vary a lot by phase, which you can see in the Doppler phases table. If you only have ordinary skins to spend, the ten-skin CS2 trade up calculator works the same way one rarity lower.
How to use the knife trade up calculator
- Choose knife or gloves (normal Covert skins) or StatTrak™ knife (StatTrak Covert skins).
- Search for Covert skins by name or case and add five. Use “Fill” for five copies of one skin.
- Set each input's wear, or type its real float. The cost is each input priced at the wear its float falls in.
- Read the results table for every knife or glove the contract can return, its modelled chance and its lowest listing.
- Compare the average result with the cost, and look at how many results are worth more than you paid.
Tips
- Five inputs from one case lock the pool to that case; mixing cases spreads the chance across both pools.
- Check what is in the pool before you buy inputs. Most cases hold cheap finishes next to the expensive ones.
- Price the knife you want directly on the cheapest knives page; buying it can cost less than the contract.
FAQ
How does the CS2 knife trade up work?
Since Valve's 22 October 2025 update you can put five Covert skins into the Trade Up Contract. Five regular Covert skins return one regular knife or one pair of gloves; five StatTrak Covert skins return one StatTrak knife. In both cases the result comes from a collection of one of the skins you put in, so the cases your inputs belong to decide which knives and gloves are possible.
Can I trade up StatTrak Covert skins into a knife?
Yes. Valve's patch notes say five StatTrak Covert items can be exchanged for one StatTrak knife. StatTrak gloves do not exist, so a StatTrak contract never returns gloves, and a StatTrak Covert from a gloves-only case has no knife pool in this calculator.
Which Covert skins can I use?
Covert weapon skins from a case whose special-item pool holds knives or gloves. In the data behind this page that is 81 Covert skins across 43 cases. Covert skins that only exist in souvenir collections, such as the AWP | Dragon Lore, have no knife pool in the item data and are not listed. Valve has not published what happens if you use one, so check in-game before buying inputs.
What are the odds of each knife?
Valve has not published them. The patch notes only say the result comes from a collection of one of the inputs. The model used here, the same one the ten-skin contract uses, is that each input is one vote for its case (five from one case lock the result to that case) and each item in the case is equally likely. Treat the chances as a model, not a guarantee.
How is the knife's float worked out?
Valve has not published a float rule for the five-Covert contract either. The model used here is the ten-skin rule: each input's float is placed inside its own skin's range, the five results are averaged, and the average is mapped onto the knife's own range. Because Doppler, Fade and similar finishes are capped at 0.08, they land in Factory New or Minimal Wear almost whatever you put in.
What is the cheapest knife trade up in CS2?
By cost of five inputs on 10 November 2026, the cheapest single-case contract is five AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) from the Kilowatt Case at about $115.00. The model gives an average result of $64.72 for it, with 13 possible results. The table on this page lists the cheapest contract for every case.
Are knife trade ups profitable?
Not on average. On 10 November 2026, 1 of the 43 cases have a five-of-the-cheapest contract whose modelled average result is above its cost, before Steam fees and with results priced at the lowest listing. The rest lose money on average: the case's pool includes many cheap finishes, so the average result is pulled down. A contract that returns a knife worth less than you paid is the common outcome.
Can I get gloves from a trade up?
Yes, with regular Covert skins. Gloves are in the pool of 8 cases; 8 of them (Glove Case, Operation Hydra Case, Clutch Case, Operation Broken Fang Case, Snakebite Case, Recoil Case, Revolution Case, Sealed Dead Hand Terminal) hold only gloves, so five Covert skins from one of those always return gloves.