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Trade skins

CS2 knife trade up calculator

Pick five Covert skins and see every knife or pair of gloves the contract can return, with live prices and what the inputs cost. What Valve has not published is labelled.

Prices updated 10 November 20265 Covert in, 1 knife or gloves out
Type

Pick Covert skins Loading skins…

Contract 0/5

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Pick five Covert skins from the list, or press Example. Set each one's wear or type its real float.

Possible results Waiting for inputs

Add Covert skins to the contract to see every knife or pair of gloves it can return.

0/5Cost—Results

What Valve has confirmed

RuleStatusSource
5 regular Covert items return one regular knife or one regular pair of glovesConfirmedValve, CS2 update 22 Oct 2025
5 StatTrak™ Covert items return one StatTrak™ knife (no StatTrak gloves)ConfirmedValve, CS2 update 22 Oct 2025
The result comes from a collection of one of the items providedConfirmedValve, CS2 update 22 Oct 2025
Chance of each collection when inputs mix collectionsNot publishedModelled: one vote per input
Chance of each item inside a collectionNot publishedModelled: all equal
Float of the resultNot publishedModelled: ten-skin rule
Souvenir Covert skins as inputsNot stated22 May 2026 notes allow Souvenir items in the Trade Up Contract; they do not mention this recipe
Doppler phase of a Doppler resultNot publishedPriced at the cheapest phase

The patch notes are on the official Counter-Strike 2 news feed (Steam Community announcements, app 730) dated 22 October 2025. The chances and floats shown by the calculator follow the modelled rows above, the same rules public trade up calculators use; they are labelled as a model wherever they appear.

Cheapest knife trade up for every case

Five copies of the cheapest Covert skin whose only knife and glove pool is that case, at its cheapest wear with at least three listings, on 10 November 2026 prices. Because all five inputs sit in one case the only model assumption is that each item in the pool is equally likely. Average result is the mean lowest listing of the results that have a price at their predicted wear; the priced column says how much of the odds that covers. Steam fees are not deducted.

CaseInput (×5)CostResultsAverage resultReturnPriced
Operation Hydra CaseFive-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)$909.3524$933.53+2.7%100%
Sealed Dead Hand TerminalAWP | Queen's Gambit (Battle-Scarred)$181.0022$163.47-9.7%100%
Operation Breakout Weapon CaseM4A1-S | Cyrex (Well-Worn)$775.0013$688.92-11.1%100%
Revolver CaseM4A4 | Royal Paladin (Well-Worn)$340.7065$298.44-12.4%98%
Danger Zone CaseAK-47 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)$178.8552$154.03-13.9%100%
Horizon CaseDesert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred)$179.2552$154.03-14.1%100%
Prisma 2 CaseGlock-18 | Bullet Queen (Well-Worn)$224.7028$186.95-16.8%100%
Prisma CaseM4A4 | The Emperor (Battle-Scarred)$232.2028$190.07-18.1%100%
Operation Phoenix Weapon CaseAWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)$345.0065$281.86-18.3%100%
CS:GO Weapon Case 3CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested)$353.3565$285.13-19.3%100%
eSports 2014 Summer CaseAK-47 | Jaguar (Battle-Scarred)$350.7565$281.86-19.6%100%
Gamma CaseGlock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)$462.4030$367.12-20.6%97%
eSports 2013 CaseP90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)$355.5565$281.86-20.7%100%
Winter Offensive Weapon CaseM4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)$356.3565$281.86-20.9%100%
CS20 CaseFAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested)$132.9513$103.50-22.2%100%
eSports 2013 Winter CaseM4A4 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)$364.3065$281.86-22.6%100%
Fever CaseAWP | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)$182.8528$140.35-23.2%100%
Operation Vanguard Weapon CaseP2000 | Fire Elemental (Battle-Scarred)$349.8065$267.91-23.4%97%
Dreams & Nightmares CaseAK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)$250.9530$188.90-24.7%100%
Huntsman Weapon CaseM4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested)$126.0013$94.24-25.2%100%
Fracture CaseAK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)$146.5052$109.44-25.3%100%
Operation Riptide CaseAK-47 | Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred)$268.4530$194.32-27.6%100%
Falchion CaseAK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred)$133.6513$94.53-29.3%100%
Gamma 2 CaseFAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred)$466.0030$311.49-33.2%100%
Shattered Web CaseMAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested)$164.8052$109.44-33.6%100%
CS:GO Weapon Case 2SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Field-Tested)$427.6565$281.86-34.1%100%
Chroma CaseGalil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred)$489.8030$319.23-34.8%100%
Recoil CaseAWP | Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred)$129.4024$84.07-35.0%100%
Chroma 3 CaseM4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred)$492.4530$319.23-35.2%100%
Chroma 2 CaseM4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)$493.4030$319.23-35.3%100%
Operation Wildfire CaseM4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested)$128.7513$81.80-36.5%100%
Spectrum CaseUSP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)$446.7030$281.92-36.9%100%
Snakebite CaseM4A4 | In Living Color (Battle-Scarred)$133.5024$84.07-37.0%100%
Operation Broken Fang CaseGlock-18 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)$138.2024$84.07-39.2%100%
Spectrum 2 CaseAK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn)$452.3530$264.97-41.4%100%
Revolution CaseM4A4 | Temukau (Battle-Scarred)$122.6524$69.90-43.0%100%
Kilowatt CaseAWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn)$115.0013$64.72-43.7%100%
Clutch CaseM4A4 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)$127.9024$69.90-45.3%100%
Glove CaseM4A4 | Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred)$857.7524$335.97-60.8%100%
Operation Bravo CaseDesert Eagle | Golden Koi (Minimal Wear)$765.9065$281.86-63.2%100%
Gallery CaseGlock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)$175.0013$61.19-65.0%100%
Shadow CaseM4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn)$249.4013$71.65-71.3%100%
CS:GO Weapon CaseAWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)$2,032.4565$309.63-84.8%98%

Ranked by modelled return, best first. Cases with no input priced at three or more listings are left out.

Cheapest Covert skins that qualify

The fifteen cheapest Covert skins that sit in a case with knives or gloves, each at its cheapest wear with at least three listings.

Covert skinCaseWearLowest listing×5Pool
AWP | Chrome CannonKilowatt CaseWell-Worn$23.00$115.0013
M4A4 | TemukauRevolution CaseBattle-Scarred$24.53$122.6524
M4A4 | Desert-StrikeHuntsman CaseField-Tested$25.20$126.0013
M4A4 | Neo-NoirClutch CaseBattle-Scarred$25.58$127.9024
M4A4 | The BattlestarOperation Wildfire CaseField-Tested$25.75$128.7513
AWP | Chromatic AberrationRecoil CaseBattle-Scarred$25.88$129.4024
AK-47 | Head ShotRevolution CaseBattle-Scarred$26.10$130.5024
MP7 | BloodsportClutch CaseBattle-Scarred$26.24$131.2024
FAMAS | CommemorationCS20 CaseField-Tested$26.59$132.9513
M4A4 | In Living ColorSnakebite CaseBattle-Scarred$26.70$133.5024
AK-47 | Aquamarine RevengeFalchion CaseBattle-Scarred$26.73$133.6513
Glock-18 | Neo-NoirOperation Broken Fang CaseBattle-Scarred$27.64$138.2024
AK-47 | InheritanceKilowatt CaseBattle-Scarred$28.08$140.4013
USP-S | The TraitorSnakebite CaseBattle-Scarred$28.42$142.1024
USP-S | PrintstreamRecoil CaseBattle-Scarred$28.66$143.3024

Worked example: Kilowatt Case

Five AWP | Chrome Cannon in Well-Worn cost $115.00 ($23.00 each). All five come from the Kilowatt Case, so the result is one of the 13 knives in its pool. Each is modelled as 7.7% likely. The wear column is where the modelled output float lands for each knife.

ResultChance (model)Wear (model)Lowest listing
★ Kukri Knife | Fade7.7%Factory New$139.15
★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web7.7%Field-Tested$101.50
★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter7.7%Minimal Wear$100.32
★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened7.7%Well-Worn$76.53
★ Kukri Knife7.7%No wear$70.35
★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel7.7%Well-Worn$61.68
★ Kukri Knife | Stained7.7%Well-Worn$54.30
★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked7.7%Field-Tested$42.23
★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe7.7%Field-Tested$41.58
★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT7.7%Field-Tested$39.84
★ Kukri Knife | Scorched7.7%Field-Tested$39.31
★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh7.7%Field-Tested$38.05
★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest7.7%Field-Tested$36.50

Average of the priced results: $64.72 against $115.00 of inputs (-43.7% return). Only a result priced above the cost, shown in green, is a win.

What each case can return

The number of knife and glove finishes in each case's pool (vanilla knives and gloves count as items; Doppler phases count once).

CaseItems in poolGlovesCovert inputs
CS:GO Weapon Case6501
eSports 2013 Case6501
Operation Bravo Case6502
CS:GO Weapon Case 26501
eSports 2013 Winter Case6501
Winter Offensive Weapon Case6502
CS:GO Weapon Case 36501
Operation Phoenix Weapon Case6502
eSports 2014 Summer Case6502
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case6502
Revolver Case6502
Horizon Case5202
Danger Zone Case5202
Shattered Web Case5202
Fracture Case5202
Chroma Case3002
Chroma 2 Case3002
Chroma 3 Case3002
Gamma Case3002
Gamma 2 Case3002
Spectrum Case3002
Spectrum 2 Case3002
Operation Riptide Case3002
Dreams & Nightmares Case3002
Prisma Case2802
Prisma 2 Case2802
Fever Case2802
Glove Case24242
Operation Hydra Case24242
Clutch Case24242
Operation Broken Fang Case24242
Snakebite Case24242
Recoil Case24242
Revolution Case24242
Sealed Dead Hand Terminal22222
Huntsman Weapon Case1302
Operation Breakout Weapon Case1302
Falchion Case1302
Shadow Case1302
Operation Wildfire Case1302
CS20 Case1302
Kilowatt Case1302
Gallery Case1302

Before you sign a knife contract

Prices here are the lowest live listing, and a knife that sits at the lowest listing is rarely the one you would sell. Selling on the Steam Community Market takes about 15%, so run the number through the Steam market fee calculatorbefore you treat a small return as a win. Check each input's real float with the CS2 float checkertoo: the result's wear follows the average, and a Factory New knife is worth far more than a Field-Tested one.

Glove results are priced on their own page, cheapest gloves, and Doppler and Gamma Doppler knives vary a lot by phase, which you can see in the Doppler phases table. If you only have ordinary skins to spend, the ten-skin CS2 trade up calculator works the same way one rarity lower.

How to use the knife trade up calculator

  1. Choose knife or gloves (normal Covert skins) or StatTrak™ knife (StatTrak Covert skins).
  2. Search for Covert skins by name or case and add five. Use “Fill” for five copies of one skin.
  3. Set each input's wear, or type its real float. The cost is each input priced at the wear its float falls in.
  4. Read the results table for every knife or glove the contract can return, its modelled chance and its lowest listing.
  5. Compare the average result with the cost, and look at how many results are worth more than you paid.

Tips

  • Five inputs from one case lock the pool to that case; mixing cases spreads the chance across both pools.
  • Check what is in the pool before you buy inputs. Most cases hold cheap finishes next to the expensive ones.
  • Price the knife you want directly on the cheapest knives page; buying it can cost less than the contract.

FAQ

How does the CS2 knife trade up work?

Since Valve's 22 October 2025 update you can put five Covert skins into the Trade Up Contract. Five regular Covert skins return one regular knife or one pair of gloves; five StatTrak Covert skins return one StatTrak knife. In both cases the result comes from a collection of one of the skins you put in, so the cases your inputs belong to decide which knives and gloves are possible.

Can I trade up StatTrak Covert skins into a knife?

Yes. Valve's patch notes say five StatTrak Covert items can be exchanged for one StatTrak knife. StatTrak gloves do not exist, so a StatTrak contract never returns gloves, and a StatTrak Covert from a gloves-only case has no knife pool in this calculator.

Which Covert skins can I use?

Covert weapon skins from a case whose special-item pool holds knives or gloves. In the data behind this page that is 81 Covert skins across 43 cases. Covert skins that only exist in souvenir collections, such as the AWP | Dragon Lore, have no knife pool in the item data and are not listed. Valve has not published what happens if you use one, so check in-game before buying inputs.

What are the odds of each knife?

Valve has not published them. The patch notes only say the result comes from a collection of one of the inputs. The model used here, the same one the ten-skin contract uses, is that each input is one vote for its case (five from one case lock the result to that case) and each item in the case is equally likely. Treat the chances as a model, not a guarantee.

How is the knife's float worked out?

Valve has not published a float rule for the five-Covert contract either. The model used here is the ten-skin rule: each input's float is placed inside its own skin's range, the five results are averaged, and the average is mapped onto the knife's own range. Because Doppler, Fade and similar finishes are capped at 0.08, they land in Factory New or Minimal Wear almost whatever you put in.

What is the cheapest knife trade up in CS2?

By cost of five inputs on 10 November 2026, the cheapest single-case contract is five AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) from the Kilowatt Case at about $115.00. The model gives an average result of $64.72 for it, with 13 possible results. The table on this page lists the cheapest contract for every case.

Are knife trade ups profitable?

Not on average. On 10 November 2026, 1 of the 43 cases have a five-of-the-cheapest contract whose modelled average result is above its cost, before Steam fees and with results priced at the lowest listing. The rest lose money on average: the case's pool includes many cheap finishes, so the average result is pulled down. A contract that returns a knife worth less than you paid is the common outcome.

Can I get gloves from a trade up?

Yes, with regular Covert skins. Gloves are in the pool of 8 cases; 8 of them (Glove Case, Operation Hydra Case, Clutch Case, Operation Broken Fang Case, Snakebite Case, Recoil Case, Revolution Case, Sealed Dead Hand Terminal) hold only gloves, so five Covert skins from one of those always return gloves.

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