$314.34Operation Broken Fang Case
$4.68 case + $2.49 key = $7.17
−49% returnOpen free
CS20 Case contents & odds
Every skin the CS20 Case can drop, the odds of each, what it costs to open and what it is worth on average. It first sold on the Steam Community Market on 14 October 2019.
Case price
$0.68
Key
$21.99
Cost to open
$22.67
Expected value
$1.57
Return
−93%
Prices updated 10 November 2026. Key: $21.99 (market, 1 listing). Case price is the lowest listing (97 listings).
About the CS20 Case
The CS20 Case holds 17 weapon skins across four rarities, plus a rare special pool of 13 knives. The most valuable regular skin is the AWP | Wildfire, listed from $34.13 to $112.74 depending on wear. It costs $22.67 to open: $0.68 for the case and $21.99 for the key.
Because the rarity odds are fixed, the CS20 Case comes down to its list of skins. A knife or gloves drop is 0.26% per opening, about 1 in 385; open it 100 times and the chance of at least one is 23%. Want to see how that feels before paying? Try the CS20 Case in the free case simulator, which uses these exact odds, then compare it with every other case on the case odds page.
CS20 Case odds by rarity
Valve's disclosed rates are the same for every weapon case. What differs per case is how many skins share each tier, which sets the chance of each individual skin, and what those skins are worth.
| Rarity | Chance | Skins | Chance per skin | Average skin value | Adds to EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 7 | 11.417% | $0.68 | $0.54 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 | 3.196% | $1.12 | $0.18 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 | 1.067% | $8.13 | $0.26 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.320% | $44.06 | $0.28 |
| Rare special item | 0.26% | 13 | 0.020% | $117.87 | $0.31 |
| Total | 100.00% | $1.57 |
Expected value = sum of each rarity's chance times the average value of its skins. Skin value is the lowest listing at each wear, weighted by how much of the skin's float range falls in that wear, with the 10% StatTrak roll included. Wears with no live listing are left out of the average.
CS20 Case contents
Every skin below can drop. Odds are per opening; a price range is the lowest listing across the wears the skin can come in. Check the exact float range of any skin with the float checker.
Mil-Spec
79.92% for the tier, 11.417% per skin
MAC-10
Classic Crate
$0.28 to $11.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Glock-18
Sacrifice
$0.28 to $7.57
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
FAMAS
Decommissioned
$0.31 to $5.21
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Tec-9
Flash Out
$0.28 to $2.61
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
SCAR-20
Assault
$0.27 to $0.99
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MAG-7
Popdog
$0.27 to $0.74
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Dual Berettas
Elite 1.6
$0.30 to $0.71
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Restricted
15.98% for the tier, 3.196% per skin
Five-SeveN
Buddy
$0.44 to $10.00
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
P250
Inferno
$0.42 to $6.58
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
MP5-SD
Agent
$0.43 to $4.22
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
UMP-45
Plastique
$0.39 to $3.73
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
M249
Aztec
$0.38 to $1.92
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Classified
3.20% for the tier, 1.067% per skin
MP9
Hydra
$4.56 to $75.00
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
AUG
Death by Puppy
$3.60 to $20.00
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
P90
Nostalgia
$3.46 to $15.00
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
Covert
0.64% for the tier, 0.320% per skin
AWP
Wildfire
$34.13 to $112.74
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
FAMAS
Commemoration
$26.59 to $50.00
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
Rare special item
0.26% for the tier, 0.020% per item
★ Classic Knife
Crimson Web
$125.00 to $1,135.00
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Safari Mesh
$52.83 to $364.50
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Case Hardened
$108.80 to $361.99
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Boreal Forest
$55.02 to $360.69
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Blue Steel
$94.51 to $337.69
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Stained
$74.33 to $287.99
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Night Stripe
$78.83 to $283.33
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Fade
$226.00 to $280.38
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Scorched
$66.29 to $233.00
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Slaughter
$156.45 to $172.55
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Vanilla
$156.65
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Forest DDPAT
$53.93 to $127.69
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
★ Classic Knife
Urban Masked
$65.01 to $102.56
0.020% per opening · StatTrak
Knives and gloves are the rare special pool: the case never shows which one until it opens, and the pool's average uses the average lowest listing across every item in it. See current knife prices on the cheapest knives page. “No listing” means nothing is on sale right now.
Other cases
$314.34
$62.00Fracture Case
$0.37 case + $2.49 key = $2.86
−66% returnOpen free
$121.78Prisma 2 Case
$0.87 case + $2.49 key = $3.36
−48% returnOpen free
$463.68Shattered Web Case
$3.48 case + $2.49 key = $5.97
−45% returnOpen free
$170.37Prisma Case
$0.89 case + $15.24 key = $16.13
−88% returnOpen free
$236.61Danger Zone Case
$0.87 case + $15.11 key = $15.98
−91% returnOpen free
See all CS2 cases, or work out what a drop would leave you after Steam's cut with the Steam fee calculator.
FAQ
How much does it cost to open a CS20 Case?
$22.67 at the prices of 10 November 2026: $0.68 for the case plus $21.99 for the key. This case uses its own key, which Valve no longer sells in its store, so the key price is the lowest player listing (1 listing).
What are the odds in the CS20 Case?
Valve's disclosed rates apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a rare special item (knives) 0.26%. With 7 Mil-Spec skins, each one is about 11.42%.
What is the best skin in the CS20 Case?
Among the regular skins, AWP | Wildfire is the most valuable, listed from $34.13 to $112.74 depending on wear. The rare special pool (knives) holds the biggest prices, up to $1,135.00, at a combined 0.26% chance.
Is the CS20 Case worth opening?
On average, no: one opening is worth about $1.57 in lowest-listing prices against a cost of $22.67, a return of −93%. Selling on Steam takes a 15% fee on top, and the average is carried by very rare drops, so most single openings return less than they cost.
Can I open the CS20 Case for free?
Yes, in the case simulator. It uses this case's real contents, Valve's disclosed rates and the prices on this page, and it spins a reel for each opening. Nothing is bought and nothing is added to a Steam inventory. You can open up to five at once and the session tally shows what the cases and keys would have cost.
Do StatTrak skins drop from this case?
Yes. Any skin that exists as StatTrak has a 10% chance of being StatTrak when it drops. The expected value figures include that.
More CS2 tools
Case SimulatorOpen any CS2 case free with real odds, wear, float and prices.Case Odds & EVOdds per rarity and expected value of every case.Trade-Up CalculatorOdds, output floats, expected value and ROI for any ten-skin contract.Inventory Value CheckerPaste a Steam profile and price every CS2 item in it.Float CheckerDecode an inspect link, or look up any skin's float cap and wear tiers.Steam Market Fee CalculatorWhat a buyer pays and what you keep after Steam's 15% cut.
