$218.99Gallery Case
$0.51 case + $2.49 key = $3.00
−51% returnOpen free
Fever Case contents & odds
Every skin the Fever Case can drop, the odds of each, what it costs to open and what it is worth on average. It first sold on the Steam Community Market on 4 February 2025.
Case price
$0.59
Key
$2.49
Cost to open
$3.08
Expected value
$1.26
Return
−59%
Prices updated 10 November 2026. Key: $2.49 (Valve store). Case price is the lowest listing (223 listings).
About the Fever Case
The Fever Case holds 17 weapon skins across four rarities, plus a rare special pool of 28 knives. The most valuable regular skin is the AWP | Printstream, listed from $36.57 to $142.13 depending on wear. It costs $3.08 to open: $0.59 for the case and $2.49 for the key.
Because the rarity odds are fixed, the Fever Case comes down to its list of skins. A knife or gloves drop is 0.26% per opening, about 1 in 385; open it 100 times and the chance of at least one is 23%. Want to see how that feels before paying? Try the Fever Case in the free case simulator, which uses these exact odds, then compare it with every other case on the case odds page.
Fever Case odds by rarity
Valve's disclosed rates are the same for every weapon case. What differs per case is how many skins share each tier, which sets the chance of each individual skin, and what those skins are worth.
| Rarity | Chance | Skins | Chance per skin | Average skin value | Adds to EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 7 | 11.417% | $0.31 | $0.25 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 | 3.196% | $0.69 | $0.11 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 | 1.067% | $5.72 | $0.18 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.320% | $45.74 | $0.29 |
| Rare special item | 0.26% | 28 | 0.009% | $165.51 | $0.43 |
| Total | 100.00% | $1.26 |
Expected value = sum of each rarity's chance times the average value of its skins. Skin value is the lowest listing at each wear, weighted by how much of the skin's float range falls in that wear, with the 10% StatTrak roll included. Wears with no live listing are left out of the average.
Fever Case contents
Every skin below can drop. Odds are per opening; a price range is the lowest listing across the wears the skin can come in. Check the exact float range of any skin with the float checker.
Mil-Spec
79.92% for the tier, 11.417% per skin
MP9
Nexus
$0.08 to $2.60
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
SSG 08
Memorial
$0.09 to $1.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
USP-S
PC-GRN
$0.14 to $1.00
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
M4A4
Choppa
$0.10 to $0.99
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
P2000
Sure Grip
$0.09 to $0.84
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
XM1014
Mockingbird
$0.09 to $0.55
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
MAG-7
Resupply
$0.08 to $0.47
11.417% per opening · StatTrak
Restricted
15.98% for the tier, 3.196% per skin
Zeus x27
Tosai
$0.38 to $4.08
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Nova
Rising Sun
$0.37 to $2.62
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
P90
Wave Breaker
$0.39 to $2.40
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Galil AR
Control
$0.37 to $2.37
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Desert Eagle
Serpent Strike
$0.41 to $1.29
3.196% per opening · StatTrak
Classified
3.20% for the tier, 1.067% per skin
UMP-45
K.O. Factory
$3.55 to $34.40
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
Glock-18
Shinobu
$3.94 to $16.69
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
AK-47
Searing Rage
$3.88 to $14.83
1.067% per opening · StatTrak
Covert
0.64% for the tier, 0.320% per skin
AWP
Printstream
$36.57 to $142.13
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
FAMAS
Bad Trip
$37.19 to $75.00
0.320% per opening · StatTrak
Rare special item
0.26% for the tier, 0.009% per item
★ Skeleton Knife
Doppler
$699.05 to $800.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Nomad Knife
Doppler
$386.00 to $506.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Skeleton Knife
Marble Fade
$307.15 to $468.51
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Skeleton Knife
Tiger Tooth
$257.49 to $437.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Skeleton Knife
Ultraviolet
$153.15 to $424.95
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Nomad Knife
Ultraviolet
$93.03 to $394.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Survival Knife
Doppler
$195.90 to $390.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Paracord Knife
Doppler
$228.00 to $349.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Nomad Knife
Marble Fade
$196.13 to $282.62
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Skeleton Knife
Damascus Steel
$165.85 to $280.00
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Paracord Knife
Ultraviolet
$56.84 to $269.31
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Nomad Knife
Tiger Tooth
$161.91 to $200.61
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Paracord Knife
Marble Fade
$109.03 to $199.25
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Skeleton Knife
Vanilla
$194.03
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Survival Knife
Tiger Tooth
$91.97 to $181.06
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Nomad Knife
Damascus Steel
$107.48 to $179.23
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Survival Knife
Ultraviolet
$54.02 to $163.98
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Survival Knife
Marble Fade
$109.93 to $159.92
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Skeleton Knife
Rust Coat
$109.61 to $140.74
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Paracord Knife
Tiger Tooth
$91.56 to $118.80
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Nomad Knife
Vanilla
$108.99
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Paracord Knife
Damascus Steel
$53.68 to $106.99
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Nomad Knife
Rust Coat
$77.02 to $101.35
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Survival Knife
Damascus Steel
$52.00 to $63.81
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Survival Knife
Rust Coat
$37.04 to $62.29
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Paracord Knife
Vanilla
$48.44
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Paracord Knife
Rust Coat
$38.49 to $48.39
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
★ Survival Knife
Vanilla
$44.64
0.009% per opening · StatTrak
Knives and gloves are the rare special pool: the case never shows which one until it opens, and the pool's average uses the average lowest listing across every item in it. See current knife prices on the cheapest knives page. “No listing” means nothing is on sale right now.
Other cases
$218.99
$84.52Kilowatt Case
$0.11 case + $2.49 key = $2.60
−68% returnOpen free
$80.08Revolution Case
$0.12 case + $2.49 key = $2.61
−59% returnOpen free
See all CS2 cases, or work out what a drop would leave you after Steam's cut with the Steam fee calculator.
FAQ
How much does it cost to open a Fever Case?
$3.08 at the prices of 10 November 2026: $0.59 for the case plus $2.49 for the key. The key is Valve's standard $2.49 store key.
What are the odds in the Fever Case?
Valve's disclosed rates apply: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a rare special item (knives) 0.26%. With 7 Mil-Spec skins, each one is about 11.42%.
What is the best skin in the Fever Case?
Among the regular skins, AWP | Printstream is the most valuable, listed from $36.57 to $142.13 depending on wear. The rare special pool (knives) holds the biggest prices, up to $800.00, at a combined 0.26% chance.
Is the Fever Case worth opening?
On average, no: one opening is worth about $1.26 in lowest-listing prices against a cost of $3.08, a return of −59%. Selling on Steam takes a 15% fee on top, and the average is carried by very rare drops, so most single openings return less than they cost.
Can I open the Fever Case for free?
Yes, in the case simulator. It uses this case's real contents, Valve's disclosed rates and the prices on this page, and it spins a reel for each opening. Nothing is bought and nothing is added to a Steam inventory. You can open up to five at once and the session tally shows what the cases and keys would have cost.
Do StatTrak skins drop from this case?
Yes. Any skin that exists as StatTrak has a 10% chance of being StatTrak when it drops. The expected value figures include that.
More CS2 tools
Case SimulatorOpen any CS2 case free with real odds, wear, float and prices.Case Odds & EVOdds per rarity and expected value of every case.Trade-Up CalculatorOdds, output floats, expected value and ROI for any ten-skin contract.Inventory Value CheckerPaste a Steam profile and price every CS2 item in it.Float CheckerDecode an inspect link, or look up any skin's float cap and wear tiers.Steam Market Fee CalculatorWhat a buyer pays and what you keep after Steam's 15% cut.
